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Featured Image By Adbar on Wikimedia Commons CC BY-SA 3.0

The Emilia Romagna Grand Prix, held a fortnight ago, saw Lewis Hamilton & Mercedes emerge victorious, while Valtteri Bottas finished second, and Daniel Ricciardo rounded off the podium. Hamilton’s win saw him eclipse Michael Schumacher’s race win record of 91 wins, while dealing yet another blow to Valtteri Bottas’ title fight.

This weekend, we find ourselves in Turkey after a 9 year absence, for the Turkish Grand Prix. Formula One returns to the Intercity Istanbul Park for a one-off event, after a 14 year absence.

For today’s race, Lance Stroll starts on Pole, with Max Verstappen Alongside him.

The Circuit – Intercity Istanbul Park

Map by Will Pittenger on Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 3.0

Intercity Istanbul Park, also simply known as Istanbul Park, is a permanent motorsports complex located in Tulza, located east of Istanbul. The track was designed by Hermann Tilke, and opened on 21 August 2005.

The track runs anti-clockwise, featuring a total of 2 configurations, a Grand Prix circuit, and an Intermediate circuit. Formula One will use the 5.333 km Grand Prix circuit. The circuit is no stranger to Formula One, previously hosting the race from 2005-2011. The circuit has not undergone changes since Formula One’s last visit.

2 DRS Zones are on the circuit, located on the backstraight, and the start/finish straight.

Things to Watch:

Overtaking

How much overtaking can we expect to see this weekend? For Formula One fans who desire to see some overtaking action, the outlook could be good….

Istanbul Park is a circuit with several overtaking opportunities, most notably at Turn 1, alongside the long run from Turn Nine to the final three corners. Prior to the 2016 Chinese Grand Prix, the 2011 Turkish Grand Prix also saw the highest number of overtakes on a dry race, with 80 overtakes.

Formula 1 drivers have said that they anticipate easier overtakes compared at the track at Imola. Daniel Ricciardo stated: “I think it will provide good racing as overtaking should be more straightforward [than Imola],”

How will driver inexperience & reduced data affect teams?

Today’s FP1 was essentially being held on a half-damp track, with almost zero grip, resulting in numerous spins. The half-damp surface came after officials opted to wash the track in the morning, and the water failing to dry in time for FP1.

With the low track grip in FP1 and half-damp surface, it appears that the data collection for teams to understand the track has been hampered. The situation for most teams is not helped by a lack of experience on the circuit for most drivers, with only Lewis Hamilton, Kimi Raikkonen and Sebastian Vettel having ever raced at the track.

This comes alongside a recent resurfacing which effectively led to Pirelli bringing the “wrong” tyres for the race. Mario Isola, Pirelli Formula 1 boss revealed that Pirelli was not aware of the track resurfacing at Istanbul Park, following FP2.

Ferrari

How will Ferrari perform today? Ahead of the Turkish Grand Prix, Ferrari had been expected to struggle, given Istanbul Park’s reputation for being a power-demanding circuit. This was even admitted by team personnel..

Ferrari Sporting Director Laurent Mekies stated in an interview with Pitpass, stating: “Looking at the track characteristics, it won’t be an easy weekend for us. Nevertheless, the pecking order behind the top three drivers is always very close as it has been all season and the slightest thing can make the difference between fighting for a place on the second row or not making it to Q2.”

Ferrari’s form this weekend remains slightly puzzling. The Free Practice results suggested that good things could be on the horizon this weekend for the Scuderia, only for Qualifying to demonstrate otherwise.

In the spin-filled FP1, held on a half-damp track, Ferrari managed to finish 3rd (Charles Leclerc) & 5th (Sebastian Vettel). In FP2, Ferrari managed to come home with 2nd (Charles Leclerc) & 8th (Sebastian Vettel). In FP3, Leclerc came in 2nd, while Vettel came in 6th.

Qualifying on the other hand, could only be described as a disaster. Both cars were in the top 5 for Q1, but when Q2 came around, both cars failed to make it out of the bottom 5, behind both Alfa Romeos. Vettel will start in 11th, while Leclerc will start in 12th.

Ferrari have demonstrated that they can perform in both the dry and the wet with the SF1000 at Turkey in FP. The question is: Can Ferrari be on form in the race and keep themselves in the points or even in sight of a podium? Or will it be another repeat of Q2?

Alex Albon

Is this going to be Albon’s redemption weekend? So far, the Anglo-Thai driver has endured an awful season, with much pressure placed upon him for failing to come close to teammate Max Verstappen in several areas.

Red Bull team principal Christian Horner had said previously that Albon had 2 races to show he deserved a 2021 seat at the senior team. Horner identified the races as the Emilia Romagna Grand Prix, alongside the Portuguese Grand Prix. Unfortunately for Albon, both races were disasters for him, as he score no points.

Albon has performed consistently well thus far this weekend, with top 5 finishes in all 3 FP sessions, and then qualifying 4th. A very respectable job thus far this weekend, and we certainly hope to see him perform as well in the race!

The Skies Above

Qualifying and FP3 saw a wet track, and many spins on the relaid asphalt on the track earlier in the weekend. Should there be a wet track, chaos and carnage could surely be on the cards for the fans…

So, what does the weather forecast say?

The probability of rain during the race is currently 20%, with a maximum expected temperature of 14 degrees. In the event of precipitation, it is likely to be light rain. While those looking for a spectacle on TV today might feel disappointed, just remember, a few damp spots on the circuit could still give us some drama on track!

Is Hamilton’s 7th title coming today?

This weekend also sees Hamilton have the chance to win his 7th Formula One title, equaling that of Michael Schumacher’s record. Below, we have placed a table depicting the scenarios which will grant Hamilton his 7th title.

For Bottas to deny Hamilton his title, Bottas must finish no lower than 7th on Sunday…

If Bottas Finishes

Hamilton Must Finish

1st + Fastest Lap

Title fight continues at Bahrain

1st

2nd

2nd + fastest lap

4th

2nd

5th + fastest lap / 4th

3rd + fastest lap

5th

3rd

6th

4th + fastest lap

7th

4th

8th + fastest lap / 7th

5th + fastest lap

8th

5th

9th + fastest lap / 8th

6th + fastest lap

9th

6th

10th

7th & Below

Hamilton wins 7th title

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